Just as we’re about ready to flip our calendars over to July, it appears that the tropics could be ticking a bit more active.
After a relative recent lull in the Atlantic (even with the brief and unimpactful development of Tropical Storm Dolly last week in mind), there are now two areas that the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is keeping tabs on for potential tropical development over the next few days.
One area is tracking across the eastern and into the central Atlantic, and as it moves west, it could develop into a named storm over the next few days.
“Some slow development of this system is possible during the next 2 to 3 days,” the NHC wrote on Sunday about the tropical wave’s chances for developing into a named storm. “After that time, environmental conditions become less conducive for development.”
That system, though, also marks the start of the so-called “Cabo Verde” season, a reference to the island nation off the west coast of Africa that often serves as a development point for Atlantic tropical systems. Typically, the Cabo Verde season begins in the middle to end part of the summer, and with July just days away, this new tropical wave could be a sign that the central and even eastern Atlantic Ocean is starting to wake up.
Saharan dust, however, is continuing to mix into the inter-tropical convergence zone (ITCZ) that’s often a highway for tropical development. That should limit the chances for the western Atlantic storm of developing into a tropical system.
That should also limit the chances of the storm system holding together as it approaches the eastern Caribbean later this week, even if it does develop into a tropical cyclone.
The other system is an area of low pressure that’s expected to form off the mid-Atlantic coastline, and as it does so, it could have a brief period for potential development as it moves along the warmer waters of the Gulf Stream.
Impacts to the Eastern Seaboard of the U.S. from that system, however, appear to be fairly limited regardless of development.
If one of these systems were to develop, it’d get the name of Edouard as the fifth-named storm of the season in the Atlantic basin. Fay is the next storm name up after Edouard.
The Eastern Pacific, meanwhile, is perhaps trending a little less active. With Boris dissipating in that basin, there’s now only one area of potential development in the Eastern Pacific over the next five days, according to the NHC. That’s from an area of low pressure tracking parallel to the west coast of Mexico, but any development would have to take place in the next day or two before it moves into cooler waters.
If that system were to develop, though, it would acquire the name of Cristina and become the third-named storm of the season there.
Stay with WeatherNation for the latest on the tropics and throughout hurricane season.
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