With Hurricane Delta bringing impacts to the Gulf Coast and devastation to Louisiana last week, the hurricane season is far from over – a reminder, we have until November 30th for the official end to the Atlantic hurricane season. The historic peak of hurricane season is now behind us, but October can still be active. Here’s a look back at what we’ve seen so far:

New Area to Watch

A tropical wave is located in the Atlantic basin which is currently located about 500 miles east of the Windward islands. It is still a complex of thunderstorms that has a low chance (20%) chance of tropical formation.

Forecast models are providing an early look at where this system may go. There is still low confidence on formation and path, once it moves into the Windward Islands and Greater Antilles.

Typically in the month of October storms like to form in the Caribbean and take the path below:

That matches up well with the longer range outlook for the next week. There is moderate confidence that a tropical cyclone will form in the western Caribbean Sea into next week.

For more information on this tropical wave be sure to tune into Weather Nation where we also have Caribbean local forecasts too!