We are monitoring a few spots across the Atlantic Basin for possible tropical development in the coming days. Since it’s still in mid-October, we can get tropical storms and hurricanes to form in the Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico, or the Atlantic Ocean.

One area to monitor for tropical impacts will be across the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. This tropical wave is not expected to develop into a strong storm, however it may still drop heavy rainfall and cause rough surf for the island communities. A flash flood watch is in effect through today (Friday) for potential flooding.

A broad low pressure is expected to form across the southwestern Atlantic Ocean, south of Bermuda and to the east of the Bahamas. This area of tropical development will stem off of an upper-level low pressure system, and should meander out to sea long enough for us to watch its progression during the next few days.

Last, but not least, is an area of tropical development in the 3 to 5 day time frame (Sunday – Tuesday). The location to watch will be the western Caribbean Sea as a low pressure could form next week near Honduras and Costa Rica. The long term tropical outlook has high confidence of tropical development in the same region into next week.

The tropics can remain active through October, however becomes less likely the deeper we get into November and December. We will keep you updated through the end of hurricane season, November 30!