States like Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas and surrounding states are expected to see a lot more moisture throughout the rest of this week starting with our first batch of rain that has already started today. A ridge of high pressure across the Gulf of Mexico will bring in some Gulf moisture throughout the next several days as well as a subtropical jet which will pump in some Pacific moisture into these areas in the upper levels of the atmosphere.
Down at the surface there is an added element that will bring the lift to ring out the moisture and for Tuesday, our first frontal boundary is bringing showers across Texas, northern Louisiana, southern Arkansas, and even into Mississippi and Alabama.
As temperatures heat up throughout the afternoon central Texas is likely to see some embedded cells maybe spark up a thunderstorm but at this time we are not expecting a severe weather element.
Forecast
Tuesday (Today)
Rain has already been ongoing across the Arklatex for areas like Shreveport, LA and all the way into south-central Texas. Our frontal boundary may bring in a couple embedded thunderstorms throughout the late afternoon but a lot of it slows down tonight.
Wednesday
As we head into Wednesday, our first frontal boundary has moved offshore and a surface high pressure system brings us some clearing. There will still be some lingering moisture from the complex system into the southwestern United States but the heaviest rain across southwest and west Texas becomes a lot more scattered in nature throughout the day.
Winter Weather Alerts have been issued for a small batch of wintry mix will be possible along a frontal boundary through south Texas and into southern New Mexico.
Thursday
As we head into Thursday our next frontal boundary starts to sweep into Oklahoma throughout the morning. Moisture fills into Texas from San Angelo through Lubbock and even into Louisiana and Mississippi.
By Thursday afternoon and evening, the frontal boundary has not moved much so some areas of North and East Texas, the Arklatex and into the rest of our Gulf Coast states sees a lot of rain, heavy to moderate throughout the majority of Thursday.
By Thursday night, our frontal boundary stalls. This means heavy rain will train over a lot of the same areas bringing a risk for high rainfall totals across the Gulf Coast states.
Friday
By Friday, we’re still dealing with rain in a lot of the same areas, north Texas takes a break from the downpours, but additional rain is expected through Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and even now heading towards the Atlantic.
Forecast Accumulation
With rain expected over the next several days, some isolated totals may get up to 2-3″ in some spots across north and central Texas, Louisiana, and into central Mississippi by the end of the week.
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