Rain and Storm Chances Along the Gulf Coast

Rain
Weather

8 Feb 2021, 5:16 pm

A long stalled out front will move into the Gulf Coast States throughout the next several days and starting tonight there will be the possibility of running into some embedded thunderstorms along the fronts and as we get into Tuesday morning.

Forecast

We are watching along the stalled out frontal boundary for storms which will likely elevate as we head into Tuesday morning. But for tonight, just a few little isolated showers are likely along the front.

Tuesday morning, the Florida panhandle, southern Alabama including Mobile, and into southern Georgia start to see a few more thunderstorms. This surface boundary is still relatively weak so storms will be mostly surface based. That is likely why we should not expect severe storms, at least up to that severe criteria which is quarter-sized hail or 58 mph winds.

After sunrise we start to warm things up a little bit more into northern Florida and southern Georgia.

Into Tuesday afternoon the stalled out front and cold front will likely become one boundary. Jacksonville Florida is likely to continue seeing some heavy downpours in the heat of the afternoon.

As mentioned above, we are not really looking at significant severe event but some storms may be strong. Especially as we run into this big clash between the air masses. We’re talking a 30° temperature gradient ahead and in front of the boundary.

Forecast Accumulation

Rainfall accumulations will be highest closer to the Gulf coast and along the stalled out front where rain may possible train in the same spot for a longer duration of time. Our in-house forecast model is looking as isolated spots up to 2-3″ and other spots up to 1″ over the next couple of days as we monitor these frontal boundaries.

For the latest information on the rain side of this event be sure to tune into WeatherNation, we’re streaming 24/7.

About the author

Alana Cameron

Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where sh... Load Moree completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

Forecast

After sunrise we start to warm things up a little bit more into northern Florida and southern Georgia.

Into Tuesday afternoon the stalled out front and cold front will likely become one boundary. Jacksonville Florida is likely to continue seeing some heavy downpours in the heat of the afternoon.