NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued their outlook for July on Thursday. It calls for a warmer than normal month across the West, North, Northeast, and along the East Coast into Florida. In the Northwest, a drier than normal July is expected. Above normal precipitation is in the forecast for the Southeast.

Our initial forecast for July sees increased chances for a warmer than normal month across much of the West, Northern Tier, East Coast, and Southern Alaska. The best odds for a relatively wet July exist across the southeastern U.S. and portions of Alaska. https://t.co/JI2DUvhln5 pic.twitter.com/kuwgIy7ZMs

— NWS Climate Prediction Center (@NWSCPC) June 17, 2021

With drought conditions present across most of the West and Northern Plains, and the summer months are prime months when current soil moisture values can impact temperature and precipitation according to the CPC discussion. Water temperatures in the Pacific Ocean are near average, so La Nina or El Nino is not present with the trends of neutral conditions influencing the forecast. Coastal water temperatures and long term model forecasts were also used for the July forecast.